Insights / us
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings PLCUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.43%
P05–P95 span
27.00%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+4.22%
Outer 90%
1/3(33%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
2/3(67%)
Below median
1/3(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.17%P25: -1.13%P50: 0.43%P75: 5.01%P95: 23.83%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 7.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.