Insights / us
RTX
RTX CorporationUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.13%
P05–P95 span
13.22%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+5.93%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
2/7(29%)
Above median
6/7(86%)
Below median
1/7(14%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.72%P25: -2.02%P50: -0.13%P75: 2.12%P95: 5.50%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.