Insights / us
RTX
RTX CorporationUS04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.99%
P05–P95 span
20.95%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.06%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.82%P25: -10.62%P50: -3.99%P75: -1.39%P95: 2.14%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 37.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.