Insights / us
RL
Ralph Lauren CorporationUS05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.02%
P05–P95 span
17.20%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.10%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.16%P25: -2.03%P50: 0.02%P75: 3.04%P95: 9.05%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.