Insights / us
RL
Ralph Lauren CorporationUS05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.14%
P05–P95 span
15.77%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.21%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.36%P25: -1.77%P50: -0.14%P75: 2.22%P95: 7.41%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.