Insights / us
RL
Ralph Lauren CorporationUS04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.88%
P05–P95 span
10.95%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.03%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.61%P25: -0.38%P50: 0.88%P75: 2.18%P95: 6.34%
Computed at: 04/17/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.