Insights / us
RJF
Raymond James Financial, Inc.US05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
8.27%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.99%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.94%P25: -0.42%P50: 0.65%P75: 2.31%P95: 5.34%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.