Insights / us
RIVN
Rivian Automotive IncUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.18%
P05–P95 span
15.51%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-7.83%
Outer 90%
0/2(0%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.80%P25: -2.25%P50: 0.18%P75: 2.07%P95: 5.71%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.