Insights / us
RIVN
Rivian Automotive IncUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.35%
P05–P95 span
15.10%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-13.52%
Outer 90%
0/5(0%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.69%P25: -1.93%P50: 0.35%P75: 2.88%P95: 9.41%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.