Insights / us
RGLD
Royal Gold IncUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.56%
P05–P95 span
10.47%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-1.55%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.80%P25: -1.58%P50: 0.56%P75: 2.18%P95: 4.67%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.