Insights / us
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.75%
P05–P95 span
21.75%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-0.70%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.35%P25: -3.46%P50: -0.75%P75: 2.49%P95: 9.40%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.