Insights / us
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.US05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.02%
P05–P95 span
12.84%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.70%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.83%P25: -1.75%P50: -0.02%P75: 1.94%P95: 7.01%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.