Insights / us
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.US05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.56%
P05–P95 span
20.52%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+22.07%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.22%P25: -1.27%P50: 0.56%P75: 5.64%P95: 17.31%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.