Insights / us
QCOM
QUALCOMM IncorporatedUS04/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.78%
P05–P95 span
8.14%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.84
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+35.06%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.85%P25: -0.38%P50: 0.78%P75: 2.35%P95: 4.29%
Computed at: 04/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.