Insights / us
PTC
PTC Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.67%
P05–P95 span
15.13%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-16.03%
Outer 90%
2/4(50%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.85%P25: -3.02%P50: -0.67%P75: 1.45%P95: 6.28%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.