Insights / us
PRU
Prudential Financial, Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.47%
P05–P95 span
11.09%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.74%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.49%P25: -0.11%P50: 1.47%P75: 3.73%P95: 7.61%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.