Insights / us
PRU
Prudential Financial, Inc.US04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.26%
P05–P95 span
9.90%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.96%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.44%P25: 0.01%P50: 1.26%P75: 2.67%P95: 6.46%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.