Insights / us
PRU
Prudential Financial, Inc.US04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.45%
P05–P95 span
20.06%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.99%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.76%P25: -9.25%P50: -3.45%P75: -0.78%P95: 1.30%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.