Insights / us
POOL
Pool CorporationUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.66%
P05–P95 span
11.37%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.04%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.07%P25: -1.16%P50: 0.66%P75: 3.04%P95: 7.30%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.