Insights / us
POOL
Pool CorporationUS05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.68%
P05–P95 span
20.41%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.01%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.69%P25: -3.02%P50: -0.68%P75: 1.38%P95: 7.73%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.