Insights / us
PODD
Insulet CorporationUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+4.43%
P05–P95 span
14.06%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+2.43%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
3/7(43%)
Below median
4/7(57%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.88%P25: 1.81%P50: 4.43%P75: 7.04%P95: 12.18%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.