PODD

Insulet CorporationUS05/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.11%
P05–P95 span
9.96%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.66%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.13%P25: -2.23%P50: -0.11%P75: 1.60%P95: 4.83%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.