Insights / us
PODD
Insulet CorporationUS04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.22%
P05–P95 span
24.49%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.97%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -20.10%P25: -6.62%P50: -2.22%P75: 0.25%P95: 4.38%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.