PNW

Pinnacle West Capital CorporationUS04/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.31%

P05–P95 span

12.98%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.74

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-1.90%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

8/10(80%)

Above median

3/10(30%)

Below median

7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.21%P25: -3.17%P50: -0.31%P75: 1.19%P95: 3.77%

Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 16.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.