PNC

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.12%
P05–P95 span
14.87%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.33%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.89%P25: -2.03%P50: -0.12%P75: 1.95%P95: 5.98%

Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.