PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.US05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.43%
P05–P95 span
24.00%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.20%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -17.05%P25: -3.27%P50: -0.43%P75: 1.63%P95: 6.95%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.