PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.US04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.30%
P05–P95 span
7.18%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.86
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.95%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.32%P25: -0.67%P50: 0.30%P75: 1.53%P95: 3.86%

Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.