PKG

Packaging Corporation of AmericaUS04/23/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.11%

P05–P95 span

10.82%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.78

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+5.89%

Outer 90%

9/10(90%)

Middle 50%

7/10(70%)

Above median

8/10(80%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.34%P25: -1.40%P50: 1.11%P75: 3.43%P95: 7.48%

Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.