PKG

Packaging Corporation of AmericaUS04/16/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.12%

P05–P95 span

12.37%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.75

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+3.84%

Outer 90%

8/10(80%)

Middle 50%

4/10(40%)

Above median

9/10(90%)

Below median

1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.88%P25: -1.29%P50: 0.12%P75: 1.98%P95: 5.50%

Computed at: 04/17/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.