Insights / us
PG
The Procter & Gamble CompanyUS05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.17%
P05–P95 span
10.54%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.45%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.41%P25: 0.46%P50: 2.17%P75: 3.95%P95: 9.13%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.