Insights / us
PG
The Procter & Gamble CompanyUS04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.74%
P05–P95 span
13.06%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.98%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.63%P25: -0.13%P50: 1.74%P75: 4.52%P95: 10.43%
Computed at: 04/30/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.