Insights / us
PG
The Procter & Gamble CompanyUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.13%
P05–P95 span
10.19%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.64%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.05%P25: -5.15%P50: -3.13%P75: -1.55%P95: 1.15%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.