PFG

Principal Financial Group, Inc.US04/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.55%

P05–P95 span

6.75%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.86

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+4.91%

Outer 90%

4/10(40%)

Middle 50%

0/10(0%)

Above median

8/10(80%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.82%P25: -1.81%P50: -0.55%P75: 0.30%P95: 1.93%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 38.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.