Insights / us
PFE
Pfizer Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.88%
P05–P95 span
20.26%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-0.08%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
6/9(67%)
Above median
4/9(44%)
Below median
5/9(56%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -17.77%P25: -5.43%P50: -1.88%P75: 0.14%P95: 2.49%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.