Insights / us
PFE
Pfizer Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.29%
P05–P95 span
18.01%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.38%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.38%P25: -4.04%P50: -1.29%P75: 0.77%P95: 6.63%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 32.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.