Insights / us
PEG
Public Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.03%
P05–P95 span
12.95%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.15%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.61%P25: -3.31%P50: -1.03%P75: 0.96%P95: 6.33%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.