Insights / us
PCG
PG&E CorporationUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.05%
P05–P95 span
12.02%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.50%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.71%P25: -1.74%P50: -0.05%P75: 2.12%P95: 6.31%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.