Insights / us
PCG
PG&E CorporationUS05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.23%
P05–P95 span
11.22%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.54%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.29%P25: -1.45%P50: 0.23%P75: 1.99%P95: 6.93%
Computed at: 05/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.