Insights / us
PAYX
Paychex, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.28%
P05–P95 span
9.83%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+3.94%
Outer 90%
4/9(44%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.82%P25: -0.87%P50: 0.28%P75: 1.53%P95: 6.02%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.