Insights / us
PAYC
Paycom Software, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.12%
P05–P95 span
15.96%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-8.24%
Outer 90%
3/7(43%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.26%P25: -2.31%P50: -0.12%P75: 3.41%P95: 7.70%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.