Insights / us
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.US05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.63%
P05–P95 span
15.29%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+29.10%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.60%P25: -0.11%P50: 1.63%P75: 4.44%P95: 11.68%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.