Insights / us
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.US04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.67%
P05–P95 span
10.81%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+31.72%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.58%P25: -0.60%P50: 0.67%P75: 2.49%P95: 7.23%
Computed at: 04/30/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.