Insights / us
OXY
Occidental Petroleum CorporationUS04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.45%
P05–P95 span
11.10%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.21%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.74%P25: -4.09%P50: -1.45%P75: 0.33%P95: 2.35%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 32.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.