Insights / us
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.68%
P05–P95 span
14.62%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+0.94%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
4/4(100%)
Above median
4/4(100%)
Below median
0/4(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.42%P25: -3.18%P50: -0.68%P75: 2.32%P95: 6.19%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.