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ON
ON Semiconductor CorporationUS04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.85%
P05–P95 span
16.64%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.01%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.96%P25: -0.84%P50: 0.85%P75: 3.47%P95: 9.68%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.