Insights / us
NWSA
News CorporationUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.62%
P05–P95 span
15.89%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-0.47%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
5/5(100%)
Below median
0/5(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.58%P25: -3.05%P50: -0.62%P75: 1.59%P95: 7.31%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.