Insights / us
NWSA
News CorporationUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.28%
P05–P95 span
10.25%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-0.47%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.77%P25: -2.75%P50: -1.28%P75: -0.06%P95: 4.49%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.