Insights / us
NWS
News CorporationUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.19%
P05–P95 span
7.19%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.86
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-0.69%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.31%P25: -2.49%P50: -1.19%P75: 0.01%P95: 2.88%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.