NTRS

Northern Trust CorporationUS05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.57%

P05–P95 span

14.14%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.72

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+4.82%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

8/10(80%)

Above median

9/10(90%)

Below median

1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.42%P25: -1.62%P50: 0.57%P75: 3.24%P95: 8.72%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.