NTRS

Northern Trust CorporationUS04/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.01%

P05–P95 span

13.78%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.72

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+1.62%

Outer 90%

6/10(60%)

Middle 50%

1/10(10%)

Above median

10/10(100%)

Below median

0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.55%P25: -1.56%P50: 0.01%P75: 1.91%P95: 8.23%

Computed at: 04/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.